Leaderboards / Biggest upsets Biggest upsets
The biggest UFC upsets of 2024, by how long the winner's closing price was. Updated after every card.
All years
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020
# Winner Closing price Chance How Date
2
Aiemann Zahabi over Javid Basharat +600
14%
decision, 3 rounds
Mar 2, 2024
3
Rob Font over Kyler Phillips +447
17%
decision, 3 rounds
Oct 19, 2024
5
Ketlen Souza over Yazmin Jauregui +390
20%
submission, round 1
Sep 14, 2024
6
Shi Ming over Feng Xiaocan Title +390
20%
KO/TKO, round 3
Nov 23, 2024
7
Anthony Smith over Vitor Petrino +380
20%
submission, round 1
May 4, 2024
8
Diego Ferreira over Mateusz Rebecki +345
22%
KO/TKO, round 3
May 11, 2024
9
Dan Hooker over Mateusz Gamrot +310
23%
decision, 3 rounds
Aug 17, 2024
10
Neil Magny over Mike Malott +300
24%
KO/TKO, round 3
Jan 20, 2024
11
Austen Lane over Robelis Despaigne +295
24%
decision, 3 rounds
Oct 19, 2024
12
Nikolas Motta over Tom Nolan +285
25%
KO/TKO, round 1
Jan 13, 2024
13
Westin Wilson over Jeka Saragih +280
25%
submission, round 1
Jun 15, 2024
14
Bruna Brasil over Molly McCann +275
26%
decision, 3 rounds
Jul 27, 2024
15
Nora Cornolle over Melissa Mullins +265
26%
KO/TKO, round 2
Apr 6, 2024
16
Puja Tomar over Rayanne dos Santos +260
26%
decision, 3 rounds
Jun 8, 2024
18
Brandon Royval over Brandon Moreno +260
27%
decision, 5 rounds
Feb 24, 2024
19
Dustin Jacoby over Vitor Petrino +255
27%
KO/TKO, round 3
Dec 14, 2024
20
William Gomis over Joanderson Brito +250
27%
decision, 3 rounds
Sep 28, 2024
21
Brandon Royval over Tatsuro Taira +240
28%
decision, 5 rounds
Oct 12, 2024
22
Viviane Araujo over Karine Silva +240
28%
decision, 3 rounds
Nov 16, 2024
23
Niko Price over Alex Morono +225
30%
decision, 3 rounds
Jun 1, 2024
24
Julian Erosa over Christian Rodriguez +228
30%
submission, round 1
Jul 13, 2024
25
Mateusz Rebecki over Myktybek Orolbai +222
30%
decision, 3 rounds
Oct 26, 2024
26
Renato Moicano over Benoit Saint Denis +220
30%
KO/TKO, round 2
Sep 28, 2024
27
Kyle Nelson over Bill Algeo +215
30%
KO/TKO, round 1
Mar 30, 2024
28
Belal Muhammad over Leon Edwards Title +217
30%
decision, 5 rounds
Jul 27, 2024
29
Dustin Stoltzfus over Marc-Andre Barriault +215
30%
KO/TKO, round 1
Nov 2, 2024
31
Brady Hiestand over Garrett Armfield +210
31%
submission, round 3
Jun 15, 2024
32
Piera Rodriguez over Josefine Knutsson +210
31%
decision, 3 rounds
Dec 14, 2024
33
Charles Johnson over Azat Maksum +205
31%
decision, 3 rounds
Feb 3, 2024
36
Toshiomi Kazama over Charalampos Grigoriou +205
31%
submission, round 2
Aug 10, 2024
38
Gaston Bolanos over Cortavious Romious +202
32%
decision, 3 rounds
Nov 9, 2024
39
Joanne Wood over Maryna Moroz +195
32%
decision, 3 rounds
Mar 9, 2024
40
Lukasz Brzeski over Valter Walker +195
32%
decision, 3 rounds
Apr 6, 2024
41
Alexander Volkov over Sergei Pavlovich +195
32%
decision, 3 rounds
Jun 22, 2024
42
Dominick Reyes over Dustin Jacoby +190
33%
KO/TKO, round 1
Jun 8, 2024
43
Nikolas Motta over Maheshate +188
33%
decision, 3 rounds
Nov 23, 2024
44
Jake Hadley over Caolan Loughran +187
33%
decision, 3 rounds
Jul 27, 2024
45
Marcin Prachnio over Devin Clark +180
34%
decision, 3 rounds
Feb 10, 2024
46
Virna Jandiroba over Loopy Godinez +180
34%
decision, 3 rounds
Mar 30, 2024
47
Jim Miller over Damon Jackson +178
34%
submission, round 1
Nov 16, 2024
48
Dustin Poirier over Benoit Saint Denis +175
35%
KO/TKO, round 2
Mar 9, 2024
50
Charles Radtke over Gilbert Urbina +170
35%
KO/TKO, round 1
Feb 3, 2024
The closing price is the median of the main US books at the close; the chance is that price with the bookmaker's margin taken out. Fights with no recorded closing odds aren't included.