Leaderboards / Biggest upsets Biggest upsets
The biggest UFC upsets of 2020, by how long the winner's closing price was. Updated after every card.
All years
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# Winner Closing price Chance How Date
1
Shana Dobson over Mariya Agapova +750
11%
KO/TKO, round 2
Aug 22, 2020
2
Derek Brunson over Edmen Shahbazyan +305
24%
KO/TKO, round 3
Aug 1, 2020
3
Fabricio Werdum over Alexander Gustafsson +250
26%
submission, round 1
Jul 25, 2020
4
Jonathan Pearce over Kai Kamaka III +248
27%
KO/TKO, round 2
Nov 28, 2020
5
Andrei Arlovski over Tanner Boser +245
28%
decision, 3 rounds
Nov 7, 2020
7
Joel Alvarez over Joe Duffy +225
29%
submission, round 1
Jul 18, 2020
8
Sijara Eubanks over Julia Avila +215
30%
decision, 3 rounds
Sep 12, 2020
9
Daniel Pineda over Herbert Burns +210
31%
KO/TKO, round 2
Aug 15, 2020
10
Jan Blachowicz over Dominick Reyes Title +205
31%
KO/TKO, round 2
Sep 26, 2020
11
Chris Daukaus over Rodrigo Nascimento +200
32%
KO/TKO, round 1
Oct 10, 2020
12
Glover Teixeira over Thiago Santos +190
33%
submission, round 3
Nov 7, 2020
13
Ed Herman over Mike Rodriguez +188
33%
submission, round 3
Sep 12, 2020
14
Jim Miller over Roosevelt Roberts +185
33%
submission, round 1
Jun 20, 2020
15
Parker Porter over Josh Parisian +175
34%
decision, 3 rounds
Nov 28, 2020
16
Khaos Williams over Abdul Razak Alhassan +170
35%
KO/TKO, round 1
Nov 14, 2020
17
Brandon Royval over Kai Kara-France +170
35%
submission, round 2
Sep 26, 2020
18
Brian Ortega over Chan Sung Jung +160
37%
decision, 5 rounds
Oct 17, 2020
19
Jake Collier over Gian Villante +156
37%
decision, 3 rounds
Dec 5, 2020
20
Carla Esparza over Marina Rodriguez +150
38%
decision, 3 rounds
Jul 25, 2020
21
Giga Chikadze over Omar Morales +150
38%
decision, 3 rounds
Oct 10, 2020
22
Brett Johns over Montel Jackson +143
38%
decision, 3 rounds
Jul 18, 2020
23
Gavin Tucker over Billy Quarantillo +144
38%
decision, 3 rounds
Dec 12, 2020
24
Taila Santos over Molly McCann +141
39%
decision, 3 rounds
Jul 15, 2020
25
Charles Rosa over Kevin Aguilar +140
40%
decision, 3 rounds
Jun 13, 2020
26
Ilia Topuria over Youssef Zalal +140
40%
decision, 3 rounds
Oct 10, 2020
27
Bill Algeo over Spike Carlyle +139
40%
decision, 3 rounds
Nov 28, 2020
28
Deron Winn over Antonio Arroyo +139
40%
decision, 3 rounds
Dec 19, 2020
29
Rafael Fiziev over Marc Diakiese +135
41%
decision, 3 rounds
Jul 18, 2020
30
Ashley Yoder over Miranda Granger +135
41%
decision, 3 rounds
Nov 14, 2020
32
Pannie Kianzad over Sijara Eubanks +130
41%
decision, 3 rounds
Dec 19, 2020
33
Cub Swanson over Daniel Pineda +124
42%
KO/TKO, round 2
Dec 12, 2020
34
Anthony Pettis over Alex Morono +117
43%
decision, 3 rounds
Dec 19, 2020
35
Rob Font over Marlon Moraes +123
43%
KO/TKO, round 1
Dec 19, 2020
36
Tim Means over Laureano Staropoli +120
43%
decision, 3 rounds
Aug 8, 2020
37
Norma Dumont over Ashlee Evans-Smith +117
44%
decision, 3 rounds
Nov 28, 2020
38
Josh Emmett over Shane Burgos +112
44%
decision, 3 rounds
Jun 20, 2020
39
Carlos Condit over Court McGee +111
45%
decision, 3 rounds
Oct 3, 2020
40
Amanda Lemos over Mizuki +110
45%
decision, 3 rounds
Aug 22, 2020
41
Andre Muniz over Bartosz Fabinski +110
45%
submission, round 1
Sep 5, 2020
42
Hakeem Dawodu over Zubaira Tukhugov +110
45%
decision, 3 rounds
Sep 26, 2020
43
Andrew Sanchez over Wellington Turman +110
45%
KO/TKO, round 1
Aug 8, 2020
44
Zak Cummings over Alessio Di Chirico +110
45%
decision, 3 rounds
Aug 29, 2020
45
Chris Weidman over Omari Akhmedov +100
46%
decision, 3 rounds
Aug 8, 2020
46
Ottman Azaitar over Khama Worthy +105
46%
KO/TKO, round 1
Sep 12, 2020
48
Fares Ziam over Jamie Mullarkey +105
46%
decision, 3 rounds
Oct 17, 2020
49
Randy Costa over Journey Newson +103
47%
KO/TKO, round 1
Sep 19, 2020
50
Sean Strickland over Brendan Allen −105
49%
KO/TKO, round 2
Nov 14, 2020
The closing price is the median of the main US books at the close; the chance is that price with the bookmaker's margin taken out. Fights with no recorded closing odds aren't included.