Biggest upsets

The biggest UFC upsets of 2021, by how long the winner's closing price was. Updated after every card.

#WinnerClosing priceChanceHowDate

1 Julianna Pena over Amanda Nunes Title +600 14% submission, round 2 Dec 11, 2021

2 Gerald Meerschaert over Makhmud Muradov +440 18% submission, round 2 Aug 28, 2021

3 Anthony Hernandez over Rodolfo Vieira +355 21% submission, round 2 Feb 13, 2021

4 Derrick Lewis over Curtis Blaydes +310 24% KO/TKO, round 2 Feb 20, 2021

5 Nate Landwehr over Ludovit Klein +285 25% submission, round 3 Oct 16, 2021

6 Marcin Prachnio over Khalil Rountree Jr. +280 25% decision, 3 rounds Jan 23, 2021

7 Chris Curtis over Brendan Allen +270 26% KO/TKO, round 2 Dec 4, 2021

8 Chris Gruetzemacher over Rafa Garcia +260 27% decision, 3 rounds Jul 31, 2021

9 Jacob Malkoun over Abdul Razak Alhassan +255 27% decision, 3 rounds Apr 17, 2021

10 Davey Grant over Jonathan Martinez +250 27% KO/TKO, round 2 Mar 13, 2021

11 Jarjis Danho over Yorgan De Castro +250 27% KO/TKO, round 1 Apr 10, 2021

12 Danny Roberts over Ramazan Emeev +250 27% decision, 3 rounds Oct 16, 2021

13 Chris Curtis over Phil Hawes +250 27% KO/TKO, round 1 Nov 6, 2021

14 Marina Rodriguez over Amanda Ribas +250 27% KO/TKO, round 2 Jan 23, 2021

15 Dustin Poirier over Conor McGregor +242 27% KO/TKO, round 2 Jan 23, 2021

16 Malcolm Gordon over Francisco Figueiredo +245 28% decision, 3 rounds Jul 17, 2021

17 Glover Teixeira over Jan Blachowicz Title +235 28% submission, round 2 Oct 30, 2021

18 Raulian Paiva over Kyler Phillips +230 29% decision, 3 rounds Jul 24, 2021

19 Jessica Penne over Loopy Godinez +230 29% decision, 3 rounds Apr 17, 2021

20 Alessio Di Chirico over Joaquin Buckley +217 30% KO/TKO, round 1 Jan 16, 2021

21 Alex Caceres over SeungWoo Choi +220 30% submission, round 2 Oct 23, 2021

22 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke over Sean Soriano +217 30% decision, 3 rounds Nov 20, 2021

23 Jason Witt over Bryan Barberena +215 30% decision, 3 rounds Jul 31, 2021

24 Jan Blachowicz over Israel Adesanya Title +215 30% decision, 5 rounds Mar 6, 2021

25 Paul Craig over Jamahal Hill +210 31% KO/TKO, round 1 Jun 12, 2021

26 Joel Alvarez over Thiago Moises +210 31% KO/TKO, round 1 Nov 13, 2021

27 Nicolae Negumereanu over Aleksa Camur +200 32% decision, 3 rounds Jun 19, 2021

28 Luana Carolina over Poliana Botelho +200 32% decision, 3 rounds May 1, 2021

29 Rafael Alves over Marc Diakiese +200 32% submission, round 1 Nov 13, 2021

30 Abdul Razak Alhassan over Alessio Di Chirico +198 32% KO/TKO, round 1 Aug 28, 2021

31 Danilo Marques over Mike Rodriguez +198 32% submission, round 2 Feb 6, 2021

32 Kennedy Nzechukwu over Carlos Ulberg +198 32% KO/TKO, round 2 Mar 6, 2021

33 Warlley Alves over Mounir Lazzez +192 32% KO/TKO, round 1 Jan 20, 2021

34 Trevin Jones over Mario Bautista +190 33% KO/TKO, round 2 Mar 6, 2021

35 Jeremiah Wells over Warlley Alves +187 33% KO/TKO, round 2 Jun 26, 2021

36 Luana Carolina over Loopy Godinez +183 34% decision, 3 rounds Oct 16, 2021

37 Timur Valiev over Raoni Barcelos +180 34% decision, 3 rounds Jun 26, 2021

38 Alexis Davis over Sabina Mazo +180 34% decision, 3 rounds Feb 27, 2021

39 Priscila Cachoeira over Gina Mazany +180 34% KO/TKO, round 2 May 15, 2021

40 Jamie Pickett over Laureano Staropoli +180 34% decision, 3 rounds Oct 23, 2021

41 Vanessa Melo over Sarah Moras +178 34% decision, 3 rounds Jan 16, 2021

42 Belal Muhammad over Stephen Thompson +176 34% decision, 3 rounds Dec 18, 2021

43 Thiago Moises over Alexander Hernandez +177 34% decision, 3 rounds Feb 27, 2021

44 Clay Guida over Michael Johnson +175 34% decision, 3 rounds Feb 6, 2021

45 Anthony Smith over Jimmy Crute +172 35% KO/TKO, round 1 Apr 24, 2021

46 Claudio Puelles over Jordan Leavitt +170 35% decision, 3 rounds Jun 5, 2021

47 Nate Maness over Tony Gravely +170 35% KO/TKO, round 2 Sep 18, 2021

48 Derek Brunson over Kevin Holland +168 35% decision, 5 rounds Mar 20, 2021

49 Clay Guida over Leonardo Santos +165 36% submission, round 2 Dec 4, 2021

50 Rose Namajunas over Zhang Weili Title +165 36% KO/TKO, round 1 Apr 24, 2021

The closing price is the median of the main US books at the close; the chance is that price with the bookmaker's margin taken out. Fights with no recorded closing odds aren't included.