Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert

Odds, prediction and stats · Lightweight · 3 rounds · Main Card

Sat, Oct 10, 2026Main Card starts 8:00 PM ET · 5:00 PM PT · 1:00 AM UKLive odds · updated 1 hour ago
Red corner · Favourite
“Jaguar”
Lightweight · Fights out of Rio Branco, Brazil
Record
11-3
UFC
2-1
Age
25
Height
5'10"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →
Betting marketno-vig, 5 US books
64%36%
Cage Oracle modelstats only, never sees odds
77%23%
The model is 14 points higher on Matheus Camilo than the market.
Matheus Camilo · best price−175at BetMGM
Jai Herbert · best price+170at Caesars
Opened −185 / +161, now −204 / +163. The line has barely moved from the open.
Blue corner · Underdog
“Black Country Banger”
Lightweight · Fights out of Wolverhampton, United Kingdom
Record
14-6
UFC
4-5
Age
38
Height
6'1"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Fight history and price record →

Fight details

Event
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Co-main event
Date
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
Main Card starts
8:00 PM ET · 5:00 PM PT · 1:00 AM UK
Venue
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
Broadcast
Paramount+ (as ufc.com lists it)
Weight class
Lightweight
Rounds
3 × 5 minutes

Preview

Matheus Camilo (11-3) faces Jai Herbert (14-6) in the co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, a lightweight bout, on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada. Matheus Camilo has won 2 of 3 UFC fights, 1 by knockout, and comes in on 2 wins in a row. Jai Herbert has won 4 of 9 UFC fights, 2 by knockout.

Matheus Camilo is 13 years younger; Jai Herbert has a 8-inch reach advantage. Matheus Camilo avoids 67% of opponents' significant strikes, better than 98% of active UFC fighters.

The betting market makes Matheus Camilo a 64% favourite (−204). The line has barely moved from the open.

More from this card

Full card →

Questions and answers

When is Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert?

Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert is on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan. The main card starts at 8:00 PM ET (5:00 PM PT, 1:00 AM UK).

Where is Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert?

Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert takes place at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada.

How can I watch Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert?

ufc.com lists the main card on Paramount+.

Who is favoured to win, Matheus Camilo or Jai Herbert?

Matheus Camilo is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Matheus Camilo a 64% chance and Jai Herbert 36%. Best prices at US books: Matheus Camilo, −175 at BetMGM; Jai Herbert, +170 at Caesars.

What does the Cage Oracle model predict for Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert?

The model gives Matheus Camilo a 77% chance. It is built from fight statistics only and never sees the odds.

How many rounds is Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert?

3 rounds of five minutes.

What are Matheus Camilo and Jai Herbert's records?

Matheus Camilo is 11-3 (2-1 in the UFC). Jai Herbert is 14-6 (4-5 in the UFC).

How old are Matheus Camilo and Jai Herbert?

Matheus Camilo is 25 and Jai Herbert is 38.

How tall are Matheus Camilo and Jai Herbert, and what is their reach?

Matheus Camilo is 5'10" and has a 69" reach; Jai Herbert is 6'1" and has a 77" reach.

Where are Matheus Camilo and Jai Herbert from?

Matheus Camilo fights out of Rio Branco, Brazil; Jai Herbert fights out of Wolverhampton, United Kingdom.

Have Matheus Camilo and Jai Herbert fought before?

No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.