Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto
Odds, prediction and stats · Women's Flyweight · 3 rounds · Prelims
Fight details
- Date
- Sat, Oct 10, 2026
- Prelims starts
- 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UK
- Venue
- Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Broadcast
- Paramount+ (as ufc.com lists it)
- Weight class
- Women's Flyweight
- Rounds
- 3 × 5 minutes
Preview
Ernesta Kareckaite (6-2) faces Melissa Gatto (9-3) in a women's flyweight bout on the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada. Ernesta Kareckaite has won 1 of 3 UFC fights. Melissa Gatto has won 3 of 6 UFC fights, 3 by knockout.
Ernesta Kareckaite has a 2-inch reach advantage. Ernesta Kareckaite lands 5.62 significant strikes a minute, better than 89% of active UFC fighters. Melissa Gatto absorbs only 2.67 significant strikes a minute, better than 82% of active UFC fighters. Ernesta Kareckaite and Melissa Gatto have 1 common UFC opponent: Dione Barbosa.
The betting market makes Melissa Gatto a 53% favourite (−127). The line has moved toward Melissa Gatto since it opened.
How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
Common opponents
Opponents both had fought in the UFC, with the most recent meeting for each.
More from this card
Full card →Questions and answers
When is Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto?
Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto is on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan. The prelims starts at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT, 10:00 PM UK).
Where is Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto?
Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto takes place at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada.
How can I watch Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto?
ufc.com lists the prelims on Paramount+.
Who is favoured to win, Ernesta Kareckaite or Melissa Gatto?
Melissa Gatto is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Melissa Gatto a 53% chance and Ernesta Kareckaite 47%. Best prices at US books: Ernesta Kareckaite, +115 at BetMGM; Melissa Gatto, −125 at Caesars.
What does the Cage Oracle model predict for Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto?
The model gives Melissa Gatto a 59% chance. It is built from fight statistics only and never sees the odds.
How many rounds is Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto?
3 rounds of five minutes.
What are Ernesta Kareckaite and Melissa Gatto's records?
Ernesta Kareckaite is 6-2 (1-2 in the UFC). Melissa Gatto is 9-3 (3-3 in the UFC).
How old are Ernesta Kareckaite and Melissa Gatto?
Ernesta Kareckaite is 28 and Melissa Gatto is 30.
How tall are Ernesta Kareckaite and Melissa Gatto, and what is their reach?
Ernesta Kareckaite is 5'9" and has a 71" reach; Melissa Gatto is 5'5" and has a 69" reach.
Where are Ernesta Kareckaite and Melissa Gatto from?
Ernesta Kareckaite fights out of Kaunas, Lithuania; Melissa Gatto fights out of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Have Ernesta Kareckaite and Melissa Gatto fought before?
No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.