UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Odds, predictions and stats for every fight on the card

Sat, Oct 10, 2026Meta Apex, Las Vegas, NevadaCard starts 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UK Live odds · updated 1 hour ago

The card

Market: the betting market's chance, vig removed. Model: our stats-only model.

Prelims

Melissa Gatto 9-3-2 vs Ernesta Kareckaite 6-2-1 MARKET53% MODEL59% Alice Pereira 7-1 vs Daria Zhelezniakova 10-3 MARKET— MODEL67% RJ Harris 6-0 vs Allen Frye Jr. 6-1 MARKET70% MODEL71% Felipe Franco 11-2 vs Brendson Ribeiro 17-11 (1 NC) MARKET74% MODEL77% Leon Shahbazyan 12-5 vs Niko Price 16-11 (2 NC) MARKET59% MODEL56% Ismael Bonfim 20-7 vs Francisco Prado 12-5Model picks the other side MARKET51% MODEL39%

Main Card

Malcolm Wellmaker 10-2 vs Otari Tanzilovi 10-2Model picks the other side MARKET66% MODEL30% Julius Walker 7-3 vs Gerald Meerschaert 37-22 MARKET70% MODEL72% Andre Fili 25-14 (1 NC) vs Kai Kamaka III 18-8-1 MARKET58% MODEL52% Loopy Godinez 14-6 vs Ketlen Souza 17-6 MARKET67% MODEL67% Matheus Camilo 11-3 vs Jai Herbert 14-6-1Model well above market MARKET64% MODEL77% Brendan Allen 27-7 vs Christian Leroy Duncan 15-2Model picks the other side MARKET55% MODEL38%

Start times and how to watch

When each part of the card starts, in US Eastern, US Pacific and UK time, and where ufc.com lists it.

Part of the cardETPTUKBroadcast

Prelims5:00 PM2:00 PM10:00 PMParamount+

Main Card8:00 PM5:00 PM1:00 AMParamount+

Preview

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan takes place on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada. The prelims start at 5:00 PM ET, the main card at 8:00 PM ET. The card has 12 fights, headlined by Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan, a middleweight bout. The co-main event is Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert.

The books have posted odds on 11 of the 12 fights. The biggest favourite is Felipe Franco at 74% against Brendson Ribeiro. The closest fight by the odds is Ismael Bonfim vs Francisco Prado, 51% to 49%.

Questions and answers

When is UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan?

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan is on Saturday, October 10, 2026.

What time does UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan start?

The prelims start at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT, 10:00 PM UK), the main card at 8:00 PM ET (5:00 PM PT, 1:00 AM UK).

Where is UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan?

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan takes place at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada.

How can I watch UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan?

ufc.com lists the whole card on Paramount+.

What is the main event of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan?

Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan, a middleweight bout, scheduled for 5 rounds.

Who is fighting at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan?

The full card: Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto, Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova, Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris, Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro, Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan, Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim, Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi, Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert, Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III, Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza, Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert and Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan.