Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan
Odds, prediction and stats · Middleweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
Fight details
- Event
- UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Main event
- Date
- Sat, Oct 10, 2026
- Main Card starts
- 8:00 PM ET · 5:00 PM PT · 1:00 AM UK
- Venue
- Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Broadcast
- Paramount+ (as ufc.com lists it)
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Rounds
- 5 × 5 minutes
Preview
Brendan Allen (27-7) faces Christian Leroy Duncan (15-2) in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, a middleweight bout, on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada. Brendan Allen has won 15 of 19 UFC fights, 2 by knockout and 7 by submission, and comes in on 3 wins in a row. Christian Leroy Duncan has won 8 of 10 UFC fights, 5 by knockout, and comes in on 5 wins in a row.
Christian Leroy Duncan has a 4-inch reach advantage. Brendan Allen attempts 1.01 submissions per 15 minutes, better than 86% of active UFC fighters. Christian Leroy Duncan lands 58% of the significant strikes thrown, better than 93% of active UFC fighters.
The betting market makes Brendan Allen a 55% favourite (−137). The line has moved toward Christian Leroy Duncan since it opened.
How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
More from this card
Full card →Questions and answers
When is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan is on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan. The main card starts at 8:00 PM ET (5:00 PM PT, 1:00 AM UK).
Where is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan takes place at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada.
How can I watch Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
ufc.com lists the main card on Paramount+.
Who is favoured to win, Brendan Allen or Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen is the betting favourite. With the bookmakers' margin removed, the market gives Brendan Allen a 55% chance and Christian Leroy Duncan 45%. Best prices at US books: Brendan Allen, −135 at BetMGM; Christian Leroy Duncan, +120 at DraftKings.
What does the Cage Oracle model predict for Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
The model gives Christian Leroy Duncan a 62% chance. It is built from fight statistics only and never sees the odds.
How many rounds is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan?
5 rounds of five minutes.
What are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan's records?
Brendan Allen is 27-7 (15-4 in the UFC). Christian Leroy Duncan is 15-2 (8-2 in the UFC).
How old are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan?
Brendan Allen is 30 and Christian Leroy Duncan is 31.
How tall are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan, and what is their reach?
Brendan Allen is 6'2" and has a 75" reach; Christian Leroy Duncan is 6'2" and has a 79" reach.
Where are Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan from?
Brendan Allen fights out of Covington, Louisiana; Christian Leroy Duncan fights out of Gloucester, United Kingdom.
Have Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan fought before?
No. This is their first fight against each other in the UFC.