UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman

Results, closing odds and the model's pre-fight numbers

Sat, Jul 18, 202612 fights · 5 won by the underdog

UFC Fight Night results

All 12 fights

Main event Dricus Du Plessis def. Kamaru Usman decision, 5 rounds · the closing line gave Dricus Du Plessis 64%

Favourites won7 of 12

Upsets5

KO/TKO3

Submissions2

Decisions7

Upsets

Biggest first. The percentage is the winner's chance at the closing line, with the bookmakers' margin removed.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. Seokhyeon Ko decision, 3 rounds · 38% at the close (+150) Felipe Franco def. Levi Rodrigues Jr. KO/TKO, round 2 (1:40) · 43% at the close (+123) Jose Delgado def. Austin Bashi decision, 3 rounds · 46% at the close (+106) Ezra Elliott def. Damien Anderson decision, 3 rounds · 47% at the close RJ Harris def. Alvin Hines KO/TKO, round 1 (1:40) · 48% at the close (−103)

Bonuses

ufc.com hasn't posted the bonuses yet.

Model against market

The fights where our model and the closing line picked different winners. They split on 3; the model was right on 3.

Jose Delgado def. Austin Bashi Model right · model 57%, close 46% Felipe Franco def. Levi Rodrigues Jr. Model right · model 63%, close 43% RJ Harris def. Alvin Hines Model right · model 63%, close 48%

Every result

Close: the chance the closing line gave the winner. Model: the chance our stats-only model gave before the fight.

Main Card

Dricus Du Plessis def. Kamaru Usmandecision, 5 rounds CLOSE64% MODEL67% Christian Leroy Duncan def. Jared Cannonierdecision, 3 rounds CLOSE76% MODEL80% Chase Hooper def. Mitch Ramirezsubmission, round 1 (2:15) CLOSE75% MODEL84% Fatima Kline def. Tabatha Riccidecision, 3 rounds CLOSE80% MODEL61% Tommy McMillen def. Alberto MontesKO/TKO, round 3 (3:29) CLOSE63% MODEL66%

Prelims

Jose Delgado def. Austin Bashidecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE46% MODEL57% Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. Seokhyeon Kodecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE38% MODEL40% Felipe Franco def. Levi Rodrigues Jr.KO/TKO, round 2 (1:40)Underdog won CLOSE43% MODEL63% Ezra Elliott def. Damien Andersondecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE47% MODEL— Alden Coria def. Stewart Nicolldecision, 3 rounds CLOSE88% MODEL74% RJ Harris def. Alvin HinesKO/TKO, round 1 (1:40)Underdog won CLOSE48% MODEL63% Dione Barbosa def. Anna Melisanosubmission, round 1 (4:04) CLOSE83% MODEL64%

UFC Fight Night recap

Dricus Du Plessis beat Kamaru Usman by decision, 5 rounds in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman on Saturday, July 18, 2026.

Favourites won 7 of the 12 fights with closing odds. The biggest upset was Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani over Seokhyeon Ko: the closing line gave Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani a 38% chance (+150). In all, 5 underdogs won. By method: 3 knockouts, 2 submissions and 7 decisions.

The Cage Oracle model and the betting market disagreed on 3 fights; the model was right on 3.

Questions and answers

Who won the main event of UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman?

Dricus Du Plessis beat Kamaru Usman by decision, 5 rounds.

What were the upsets at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman?

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani over Seokhyeon Ko (38% at the close), Felipe Franco over Levi Rodrigues Jr. (43% at the close), Jose Delgado over Austin Bashi (46% at the close), Ezra Elliott over Damien Anderson (47% at the close) and RJ Harris over Alvin Hines (48% at the close).

When was UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman?

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman took place on Saturday, July 18, 2026.