Favorites by price
UFC favorites have won 69% of 2,757 fights with closing odds since 2020. Here is how often they won at each price, against what the odds said, and what a flat bet on each side returned.
Favorite's chanceChanceFightsWonOdds saidBet the favoriteBet fav.Bet the underdogBet dog
50–55%
396
53%
53%
−1.5%
−0.7%
55–60%
451
59%
58%
+0.7%
−3.2%
60–65%
491
66%
63%
+3.5%
−6.4%
65–70%
512
67%
67%
−2.2%
+4.5%
70–75%
354
76%
73%
+3.5%
−10.5%
75–80%
255
84%
77%
+6.1%
−29.4%
80–85%
176
89%
82%
+3.6%
−33.6%
85–90%
97
88%
87%
−2.6%
+0.4%
90–100%
25
100%
92%
+3.5%
−100.0%
Returns are per fight, betting one unit at the closing price, after the bookmaker's margin. Small bands swing a lot from a handful of results. Our study of how accurate the closing odds are goes into the pattern.