Ilia Topuria: who's next?
Name a fighter. The model scores them against the ranked contenders in their division (or everyone active at their weight, if they aren't ranked) and finds the closest thing to a coin flip, plus the safest fight and the toughest.
As even as this division gets for Ilia Topuria. Full matchup →
Closest fights
Ilia Topuria's chance against each opponent, closest to 50% first.
Tom Nolan75%
Grant Dawson78%
The extremes
Safest: Dan Hooker88%
Toughest: Arman Tsarukyan43%
Scored against the UFC's champion and top 15 at Lightweight (rankings of Aug 4, 2026), as three-round fights. Score against everyone active at this weight instead → Percentages are Ilia Topuria's chance of winning. The model never sees the odds, injuries or rankings.