Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu
Result, odds and stats · Lightweight · Prelims
Sat, Sep 12, 2026Odds at the close
Red corner · Underdog
Lightweight
Record
19-4
UFC
7-4
Age
32
Height
5'7"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Closing lineno-vig, 5 US books
42%58%
Cage Oracle modelstats only, never sees odds
71%29%
The model picked Rafa Garcia; the market favoured Rongzhu. The market was right.
Opened −150 / +130, closed +130 / −154. The line moved toward Rongzhu since it opened.
Blue corner · Favourite
Lightweight
Record
3-3
UFC
3-3
Age
26
Height
5'9"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Fight details
- Date
- Sat, Sep 12, 2026
- Part of the card
- Prelims
- Venue
- Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Referee
- Gustav Gibson
- Weigh-in
- Rafa Garcia 155 lb, Rongzhu 155 lb
How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
■ Rafa Garcia
■ Rongzhu
More from this card
Full card →
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CLOSE78%
MODEL47%
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Alexa Grasso def. Manon Fiorotunanimous decisionUnderdog won
CLOSE29%
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Curtis Blaydes def. Waldo Cortes Acostaunanimous decisionUnderdog won
CLOSE36%
MODEL46%
David Martinez def. Dan Igeunanimous decision
CLOSE77%
MODEL75%
Tim Elliott def. Edgar Chairezunanimous decision
CLOSE76%
MODEL54%
Ignacio Bahamondes def. Muslim Salikhovunanimous decision
CLOSE82%
MODEL68%
Yousri Belgaroui def. Djorden SantosKO/TKO, round 1 (4:25)
CLOSE86%
MODEL69%
Tommy Gantt def. Drakkar Klosesubmission (triangle choke), round 3 (2:46)
CLOSE76%
MODEL68%
Sean King III def. Jessie RosasKO/TKO, round 1 (0:36)
CLOSE—
MODEL—
Regina Tarin def. JJ Aldrichunanimous decision
CLOSE—
MODEL70%
Questions and answers
Who won Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu?
Rongzhu beat Rafa Garcia by unanimous decision on Saturday, September 12, 2026.
Was Rongzhu the favourite?
The favourite won. The closing line gave Rongzhu a 58% chance.
What were Rafa Garcia and Rongzhu's records going into the fight?
Rafa Garcia is 19-4 (7-4 in the UFC). Rongzhu is 3-3 (3-3 in the UFC).