Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales
Result, odds and stats · Flyweight · Main Card
Sat, Sep 12, 2026Odds at the close
Red corner · Underdog
Flyweight
Record
23-10
UFC
11-7
Age
32
Height
5'7"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Closing lineno-vig, 5 US books
49%51%
Cage Oracle modelstats only, never sees odds
56%44%
The model picked Brandon Moreno; the market favoured Joseph Morales. The model was right.
Opened −170 / +149, closed −105 / −115. The line moved toward Joseph Morales since it opened.
Blue corner · Favourite
Flyweight
Record
14-2
UFC
3-2
Age
32
Height
5'6"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Fight details
- Event
- Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Co-main event
- Date
- Sat, Sep 12, 2026
- Part of the card
- Main Card
- Venue
- Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona
- Weight class
- Flyweight
- Referee
- Jason Herzog
- Weigh-in
- Brandon Moreno 125.5 lb, Joseph Morales 125.5 lb
How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
■ Brandon Moreno
■ Joseph Morales
Common opponents
Opponents both had fought in the UFC before this fight, with the most recent meeting for each.
Brandon Moreno
Won · KO/TKO, round 3
Jan 2023 · landed 1.9 more significant strikes a minute
Joseph Morales
Lost · KO/TKO, round 2
Feb 2018 · Figueiredo landed 2.3 more a minute
More from this card
Full card →
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CLOSE78%
MODEL47%
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MODEL57%
Alexa Grasso def. Manon Fiorotunanimous decisionUnderdog won
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MODEL45%
Curtis Blaydes def. Waldo Cortes Acostaunanimous decisionUnderdog won
CLOSE36%
MODEL46%
David Martinez def. Dan Igeunanimous decision
CLOSE77%
MODEL75%
Tim Elliott def. Edgar Chairezunanimous decision
CLOSE76%
MODEL54%
Ignacio Bahamondes def. Muslim Salikhovunanimous decision
CLOSE82%
MODEL68%
Yousri Belgaroui def. Djorden SantosKO/TKO, round 1 (4:25)
CLOSE86%
MODEL69%
Tommy Gantt def. Drakkar Klosesubmission (triangle choke), round 3 (2:46)
CLOSE76%
MODEL68%
Rongzhu def. Rafa Garciaunanimous decision
CLOSE58%
MODEL29%
Sean King III def. Jessie RosasKO/TKO, round 1 (0:36)
CLOSE—
MODEL—
Regina Tarin def. JJ Aldrichunanimous decision
CLOSE—
MODEL70%
Questions and answers
Who won Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales?
Brandon Moreno beat Joseph Morales by split decision on Saturday, September 12, 2026.
Was Brandon Moreno the favourite?
The underdog won. The closing line gave Brandon Moreno a 49% chance, about 1 in 2.
What were Brandon Moreno and Joseph Morales's records going into the fight?
Brandon Moreno is 23-10 (11-7 in the UFC). Joseph Morales is 14-2 (3-2 in the UFC).