UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez

Results, closing odds and the model's pre-fight numbers

Sat, Aug 1, 202614 fights · 3 won by the underdog

UFC Fight Night results

All 14 fights

Main event Uros Medic def. Daniel Rodriguez KO/TKO, round 1 (0:30) · the closing line gave Uros Medic 77%

Favourites won11 of 14

Upsets3

KO/TKO8

Submissions4

Decisions2

Upsets

Biggest first. The percentage is the winner's chance at the closing line, with the bookmakers' margin removed.

Gilbert Urbina def. Vlasto Cepo KO/TKO, round 1 (1:01) · 27% at the close (+260) Tofiq Musayev def. Ludovit Klein KO/TKO, round 2 (4:07) · 31% at the close (+205) Noah Gugnon def. Milos Janicic submission, round 1 (1:21) · 45% at the close (+112)

Bonuses

ufc.com hasn't posted the bonuses yet.

Model against market

The fights where our model and the closing line picked different winners. They split on 2; the model was right on 0.

Robert Valentin def. Dusko Todorovic Market right · model 44%, close 59% Borislav Nikolic def. Mark Vologdin Market right · model 33%, close 64%

Every result

Close: the chance the closing line gave the winner. Model: the chance our stats-only model gave before the fight.

Main Card

Uros Medic def. Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO, round 1 (0:30) CLOSE77% MODEL70% Navajo Stirling def. Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO, round 1 (2:56) CLOSE73% MODEL85% Aleksandar Rakic def. Marcin Tyburadecision, 3 rounds CLOSE77% MODEL56% Robert Valentin def. Dusko Todorovicsubmission, round 1 (4:14) CLOSE59% MODEL44% Gilbert Urbina def. Vlasto CepoKO/TKO, round 1 (1:01)Underdog won CLOSE27% MODEL46% Noah Gugnon def. Milos Janicicsubmission, round 1 (1:21)Underdog won CLOSE45% MODEL50%

Prelims

Tofiq Musayev def. Ludovit KleinKO/TKO, round 2 (4:07)Underdog won CLOSE31% MODEL— Michael Oliveira def. Oban ElliottKO/TKO, round 1 (1:49) CLOSE76% MODEL56% Borislav Nikolic def. Mark Vologdindecision, 3 rounds CLOSE64% MODEL33% Bogdan Grad def. Dennis Buzukjasubmission, round 2 (4:33) CLOSE64% MODEL68% Mateusz Rebecki def. Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO, round 1 (4:41) CLOSE86% MODEL86% Nina Milosevic def. Hailey CowanKO/TKO, round 1 (3:41) CLOSE81% MODEL67% Jovan Leka def. Alexander PoppeckKO/TKO, round 1 (2:22) CLOSE72% MODEL66% Stephanie Luciano def. Marina Spasicsubmission, round 1 (3:20) CLOSE74% MODEL62%

UFC Fight Night recap

Uros Medic beat Daniel Rodriguez by KO/TKO, round 1 (0:30) in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez on Saturday, August 1, 2026.

Favourites won 11 of the 14 fights with closing odds. The biggest upset was Gilbert Urbina over Vlasto Cepo: the closing line gave Gilbert Urbina a 27% chance (+260). In all, 3 underdogs won. By method: 8 knockouts, 4 submissions and 2 decisions.

The Cage Oracle model and the betting market disagreed on 2 fights; the model was right on 0.

Questions and answers

Who won the main event of UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez?

Uros Medic beat Daniel Rodriguez by KO/TKO, round 1 (0:30).

What were the upsets at UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez?

Gilbert Urbina over Vlasto Cepo (27% at the close), Tofiq Musayev over Ludovit Klein (31% at the close) and Noah Gugnon over Milos Janicic (45% at the close).

When was UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez?

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez took place on Saturday, August 1, 2026.