Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira
Result, odds and stats · Bantamweight · 5 rounds
Sat, Feb 7, 2026Odds at the close
Favourite
Bantamweight
Record
16-3
UFC
10-3
Age
32
Height
5'9"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Closing lineno-vig, 7 US books
56%44%
Opened −140 / +120, closed −145 / +118. The line had barely moved from the open.
Underdog
Bantamweight
Record
23-3
UFC
4-0
Age
30
Height
5'9"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record → Fight stats
Mario BautistaVinicius Oliveira
Significant strikes15 of 2712 of 21
Knockdowns00
Takedowns5 of 70 of 1
Control time5:471:39
Submission attempts10
How they fight
Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.
■ Mario Bautista
■ Vinicius Oliveira
Rounds 4 and 5 not shown: too few of them to average.
Common opponents
Opponents both had fought in the UFC before this fight, with the most recent meeting for each.
Mario Bautista
Won · decision, 3 rounds
Jan 2024 · landed 4.5 more significant strikes a minute
Vinicius Oliveira
Won · decision, 3 rounds
Jun 2024 · landed 3.6 more significant strikes a minute
Other fights that night
Daniil Donchenko def. Alex Moronodecision, 3 rounds
CLOSE86%
Kyoji Horiguchi def. Amir Albazidecision, 3 rounds
CLOSE76%
Ketlen Souza def. Bruna Brasildecision, 3 rounds
CLOSE58%
Dustin Jacoby def. Julius WalkerKO/TKO, round 2 (1:42)
CLOSE60%
Wang Cong def. Eduarda Mouradecision, 3 rounds
CLOSE75%
Farid Basharat def. Jean Matsumotodecision, 3 rounds
CLOSE72%
Javid Basharat def. Gianni Vazquezdecision, 3 rounds
CLOSE—
Rizvan Kuniev def. Jailton Almeidadecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won
CLOSE39%
Jakub Wiklacz def. Muin Gafurovsubmission, round 3 (4:59)Underdog won
CLOSE47%
Klaudia Sygula def. Priscila Cachoeiradecision, 3 rounds
CLOSE62%
Michal Oleksiejczuk def. Marc-Andre Barriaultdecision, 3 rounds
CLOSE80%
Nikolay Veretennikov def. Niko PriceKO/TKO, round 1 (1:42)
CLOSE71%
Questions and answers
Who won Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira?
Mario Bautista beat Vinicius Oliveira by submission, round 2 (4:46) on Saturday, February 7, 2026.
Was Mario Bautista the favourite?
The favourite won. The closing line gave Mario Bautista a 56% chance.
What were Mario Bautista and Vinicius Oliveira's records going into the fight?
Mario Bautista is 16-3 (10-3 in the UFC). Vinicius Oliveira is 23-3 (4-0 in the UFC).