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Mario Bautista vs Umar Nurmagomedov

Result, odds and stats · Bantamweight · 3 rounds

Sat, Oct 25, 2025Odds at the close
Umar Nurmagomedov def. Mario Bautista · decision, 3 rounds
Underdog
Mario
Bautista
Bantamweight
Record
16-2
UFC
10-2
Age
32
Height
5'9"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record →
Closing lineno-vig, 7 US books
17%83%
Opened +300 / −430, closed +460 / −649. The line moved toward Umar Nurmagomedov since it opened.
Favourite
Umar
Nurmagomedov
Bantamweight
Record
18-1
UFC
6-1
Age
29
Height
5'8"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record →

Fight stats

Mario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Significant strikes20 of 5432 of 54
Knockdowns10
Takedowns0 of 111 of 14
Control time0:0410:46
Submission attempts10

How they fight

Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.

21
14
Round 1
37
27
Round 2
■ Mario Bautista ■ Umar Nurmagomedov

Common opponents

Opponents both had fought in the UFC before this fight, with the most recent meeting for each.

Cory Sandhagen
Mario Bautista
Lost · submission, round 1
Jan 2019 · Sandhagen landed 2.3 more a minute
Umar Nurmagomedov
Won · decision, 5 rounds
Aug 2024 · landed 1.1 more significant strikes a minute
Brian Kelleher
Mario Bautista
Won · submission, round 1
Jun 2022 · landed 1.6 more significant strikes a minute
Umar Nurmagomedov
Won · submission, round 1
Mar 2022 · landed 5.2 more significant strikes a minute

Other fights that night

Azamat Murzakanov def. Aleksandar RakicKO/TKO, round 1 (3:11)Underdog won CLOSE48% Alexander Volkov def. Jailton Almeidadecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE37% Mitch Raposo def. Azat Maksumdecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE20% Hamdy Abdelwahab def. Chris Barnettdecision, 3 rounds CLOSE80% Ikram Aliskerov def. JunYong Parkdecision, 3 rounds CLOSE65% Mizuki def. Jaqueline Amorimdecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE22% Nathaniel Wood def. Jose Delgadodecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE42% Valter Walker def. Louie Sutherlandsubmission, round 1 (1:24) CLOSE77% Ludovit Klein def. Mateusz Rebeckidecision, 3 rounds CLOSE57% Mackenzie Dern def. Virna Jandirobadecision, 5 rounds CLOSE57% Quillan Salkilld def. Nasrat HaqparastKO/TKO, round 1 (2:30) CLOSE53%

Questions and answers

Who won Mario Bautista vs Umar Nurmagomedov?

Umar Nurmagomedov beat Mario Bautista by decision, 3 rounds on Saturday, October 25, 2025.

Was Umar Nurmagomedov the favourite?

The favourite won. The closing line gave Umar Nurmagomedov a 83% chance.

What were Mario Bautista and Umar Nurmagomedov's records going into the fight?

Mario Bautista is 16-2 (10-2 in the UFC). Umar Nurmagomedov is 18-1 (6-1 in the UFC).