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Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev

Result, odds and stats · Lightweight · 3 rounds

Sat, Mar 8, 2025Odds at the close
Justin Gaethje def. Rafael Fiziev · decision, 3 rounds
Underdog
Justin
Gaethje
Lightweight
Record
25-5
UFC
8-5
Age
36
Height
5'11"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record →
Closing lineno-vig, 6 US books
43%57%
Opened +112 / −139, closed +125 / −148. The line moved toward Rafael Fiziev since it opened.
Favourite
Rafael
Fiziev
Lightweight
Record
12-3
UFC
6-3
Age
32
Height
5'8"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Record and age going into this fight.
Fight history and price record →

Fight stats

Justin GaethjeRafael Fiziev
Significant strikes72 of 13468 of 119
Knockdowns10
Takedowns0 of 32 of 2
Control time1:320:40
Submission attempts00

How they fight

Significant strikes landed per round, averaged over each fighter's UFC career before this fight. Rounds a fight ended in are left out, so early finishes don't pull the averages down.

31
21
Round 1
36
27
Round 2
■ Justin Gaethje ■ Rafael Fiziev

Their other meetings

Justin Gaethje won by decision, 3 roundsMar 18, 2023

Other fights that night

Carlos Leal def. Alex MoronoKO/TKO, round 1 (4:16) CLOSE85% Magomed Ankalaev def. Alex Pereiradecision, 5 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE46% Amanda Lemos def. Iasmin Lucindodecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE43% Brunno Ferreira def. Armen Petrosyansubmission, round 2 (4:27)Underdog won CLOSE45% Ozzy Diaz def. Djorden Santosdecision, 3 roundsUnderdog won CLOSE36% Mairon Santos def. Francis Marshalldecision, 3 rounds CLOSE68% Ignacio Bahamondes def. Jalin Turnersubmission, round 1 (2:29) CLOSE56% Joshua Van def. Rei Tsuruyadecision, 3 rounds CLOSE57% Mauricio Ruffy def. King GreenKO/TKO, round 1 (2:07) CLOSE81%

Questions and answers

Who won Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev?

Justin Gaethje beat Rafael Fiziev by decision, 3 rounds on Saturday, March 8, 2025.

Was Justin Gaethje the favourite?

The underdog won. The closing line gave Justin Gaethje a 43% chance, about 1 in 2.

What were Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev's records going into the fight?

Justin Gaethje is 25-5 (8-5 in the UFC). Rafael Fiziev is 12-3 (6-3 in the UFC).

Have Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev fought before?

Yes. Justin Gaethje won by decision, 3 rounds (Mar 18, 2023).