UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Results, closing odds and the model's pre-fight numbers

Sat, Sep 26, 2026Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada12 fights · 5 won by the underdog

UFC Fight Night results

All 12 fights

Main event Raul Rosas Jr. def. Raoni Barcelos KO/TKO, round 5 (1:38) · the closing line gave Raul Rosas Jr. 57%

Favourites won7 of 12

Upsets5

KO/TKO6

Submissions2

Decisions3

Upsets

Biggest first. The percentage is the winner's chance at the closing line, with the bookmakers' margin removed.

Brady Hiestand def. Rinya Nakamura submission (rear naked choke), round 2 (4:07) · 25% at the close (+290) Alatengheili def. John Castaneda split decision · 26% at the close (+270) Ilimbek Akylbek def. Mahammadali Osmanli DQ, round 1 (2:19) · 27% at the close (+250) Christian Edwards def. Rodolfo Bellato KO/TKO, round 3 (1:47) · 36% at the close (+167) Elves Brener def. Josiah Harrell KO/TKO, round 1 (4:14) · 46% at the close (+106)

Bonuses

Fight of the Night Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos

Performance of the Night Luis HernandezYazmin Jauregui

Model against market

The fights where our model and the closing line picked different winners. They split on 1; the model was right on 1.

Elves Brener def. Josiah Harrell Model right · model 50%, close 46%

Every result

Close: the chance the closing line gave the winner. Model: the chance our stats-only model gave before the fight.

Main Card

Raul Rosas Jr. def. Raoni BarcelosKO/TKO, round 5 (1:38) CLOSE57% MODEL62% Ailin Perez def. Norma Dumontunanimous decision CLOSE61% MODEL53% Luis Hernandez def. Sedriques Dumassubmission (guillotine choke), round 1 (0:57) CLOSE68% MODEL61% Ilimbek Akylbek def. Mahammadali OsmanliDQ, round 1 (2:19)Underdog won CLOSE27% MODEL— Tina Black def. Melissa AmayaKO/TKO, round 2 (3:19) CLOSE66% MODEL—

Prelims

Brady Hiestand def. Rinya Nakamurasubmission (rear naked choke), round 2 (4:07)Underdog won CLOSE25% MODEL36% Rodolfo Vieira def. Robert Bryczekunanimous decision CLOSE60% MODEL57% Christian Edwards def. Rodolfo BellatoKO/TKO, round 3 (1:47)Underdog won CLOSE36% MODEL40% Elves Brener def. Josiah HarrellKO/TKO, round 1 (4:14)Underdog won CLOSE46% MODEL50% Montel Jackson def. Ricky SimonKO/TKO, round 2 (2:39) CLOSE67% MODEL61% Alatengheili def. John Castanedasplit decisionUnderdog won CLOSE26% MODEL41% Yazmin Jauregui def. Vanessa DemopoulosKO/TKO, round 1 (1:02) CLOSE86% MODEL80%

UFC Fight Night recap

Raul Rosas Jr. beat Raoni Barcelos by KO/TKO, round 5 (1:38) in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, a bantamweight bout, on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada. In the co-main event, Ailin Perez beat Norma Dumont by unanimous decision.

Favourites won 7 of the 12 fights with closing odds. The biggest upset was Brady Hiestand over Rinya Nakamura: the closing line gave Brady Hiestand a 25% chance (+290). In all, 5 underdogs won. By method: 6 knockouts, 2 submissions, 3 decisions and 1 other.

Fight of the Night: Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos. Performance of the Night: Luis Hernandez and Yazmin Jauregui. The Cage Oracle model and the betting market disagreed on 1 fight; the model was right on 1.

Questions and answers

Who won the main event of UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos?

Raul Rosas Jr. beat Raoni Barcelos by KO/TKO, round 5 (1:38).

What were the upsets at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos?

Brady Hiestand over Rinya Nakamura (25% at the close), Alatengheili over John Castaneda (26% at the close), Ilimbek Akylbek over Mahammadali Osmanli (27% at the close), Christian Edwards over Rodolfo Bellato (36% at the close) and Elves Brener over Josiah Harrell (46% at the close).

Who won Fight of the Night at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos?

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos.

Who won Performance of the Night at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos?

Luis Hernandez and Yazmin Jauregui.

When was UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos?

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos took place on Saturday, September 26, 2026.

Where was UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos?

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos took place at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada.